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      <title>Electric Politics</title>
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      <copyright>Copyright 2008</copyright>
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         <title>Is It Clobberin&apos; Time Yet?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/astroclockface.jpg" alt="Astronomical clock face" align="left" />Last year I felt worried that something might be in the works re Iran. This year things feel to me very much off the hair trigger. The most recent slew of rumors seems unfounded. Public advocates of an attack on Iran can indulge their psychotic ravings but what all that amounts to, it seems to me, is the laying down of markers for whoever gets elected in November, not some call to arms for an imminent new war.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/07/is_it_clobberin_time_yet.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 19:31:31 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>July EP Podcast Schedule</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/parrishbomb.jpg" alt="Matthew Parrish revolutionary" align="left" />First up in July, on the fourth, is <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/academics/profiles/index.shtml?sands">Philippe Sands</a>, talking about his new book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FTorture-Team-Rumsfelds-Betrayal-American%2Fdp%2F0230603904%3Fie%3DUTF8%26s%3Dbooks%26qid%3D1214960417%26sr%3D8-1&tag=electricpolit-20&linkCode=ur2&camp=1789&creative=9325"><i>Torture Team</i></a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=electricpolit-20&amp;l=ur2&amp;o=1" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /> and where he thinks America stands in terms of international criminal law. Following Philippe, a double bill on the environment. July eleventh with <a href="http://www.brownecenter.com/dennis.html">Dr. Dennis Meadows</a>, co-author of the classic <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FLimits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows%2Fdp%2F193149858X%3Fie%3DUTF8%26s%3Dbooks%26qid%3D1214960604%26sr%3D1-1&tag=electricpolit-20&linkCode=ur2&camp=1789&creative=9325"><i>Limits To Growth</i></a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=electricpolit-20&amp;l=ur2&amp;o=1" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />. For a more optimistic view, July eighteenth with <a href="http://www.terrytamminen.com/about/bio/default.asp">Terry Tamminen</a>, formerly California's Secretary of the EPA and then Cabinet Secretary to Governor Schwarzenegger. And finally on July twenty-fifth I'll talk with <a href="http://www.d.umn.edu/psychology/people/faculty/bud_mcclure.html">Dr. Bud McClure</a>, a psychologist at the University of Minnesota, Duluth, about politics generally. Have a great summer!</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/07/july_ep_podcast_schedule.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 21:08:28 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>A Reasonable Decision</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/coltcommander.jpg" alt="Colt 45 Combat Commander" align="left" />When I lived in Chicago I owned several handguns, including the model shown here. I loaded my own wad cutters for target practice, and much enjoyed shooting at the range. Also, although the apartment building I lived in was pretty safe, the neighborhood was not, so owning handguns provided a very real sense of security. When I moved from Chicago to DC, because of DC's ban on handgun ownership, I sold my guns. Now that the Supreme Court has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/washington/27scotuscnd.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin">overturned</a> the DC law I may buy some more. Supporting gun ownership is not a conventionally liberal position &mdash; on this one I agree, however, with the indisputably progressive Sam Smith (<a href="http://prorev.com/2008/06/swampoodle-report-supreme-court-does.html">here</a> and <a href="http://prorev.com/2008/06/back-story-second-amendment-case.html">here</a>). To what Sam argues I would add just one thing: if we should suffer a catastrophic collapse of society then those <i>with</i> guns will be a heck of a lot better off than those <i>without</i>.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/a_reasonable_decision.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 26 Jun 2008 17:20:47 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Pentagon Apparatchiks Setting a &quot;Reform&quot; Trap for Obama?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>By <i>Chuck Spinney</i></p>

<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/pentagongear.jpg" alt="Pentagon graphic" align="left" />Aboard S/V ChaliVentures, lying Finike, Turkey &mdash; <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/25/us/25engineer.html?ref=todayspaper">Here</a> we have another stellar example of the <i>New York Times</i>' uncritical reportage on national defense. Such stories help sustain a failing status quo by appealing to establishment apparatchiks of an earlier era who are probably trying to worm their way back into the game, perhaps in an Obama Administration. </p>

<p>Cries about defense brain drain and calls for better systems management have been heard since at least the 1960s, yet Kaminski and others interviewed by the <i>New York Times</i> talk about loss of expertise and the Pentagon's grotesque acquisition management problems as if they are <i>recent</i> developments. Looking back, did not the F-111 and C-5 cost overrun scandals occur in the 1960s, even though both programs were sold at that time as examples of better systems management, and in just the same way that in the early 1990s Mr. Kaminski and his cohorts sold the problem plagued, cost overrun infected $200+ billion Joint Strike Fighter program to the President and Congress? All that is new in 2008 is that Pentagon excess occurs without a superpower adversary that would justify bloated budgets, an adversary comparable to the Soviet Union... yet the Pentagon <i>still</i> spends more than the rest of the world's military spending combined.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/pentagon_apparatchiks_setting.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 15:12:46 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Toss Them Out</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/mickeyflag.jpg" alt="Mickey Mouse with flag" align="left" />This business about the Democrats passing funding legislation for Iraq <i>and</i> wiretapping approval should worry us. Fortunately, there's something we can do. <a href="http://www.actblue.com/">ActBlue</a> targets Democrats who vote Republican (not the same thing as conservative Democrats), with some success. At the moment, among others, ActBlue is after John Barrow (GA12), who has a primary challenge on July 15, just a few weeks from now. His opponent, State Senator <a href="http://reginathomas4congress.com/">Regina Thomas</a>, has a good record on both Iraq and Fisa, and also has a good chance to unseat Barrow. I sent ActBlue $25 specifically marked for Regina Thomas &mdash; ActBlue doesn't take any percentage but you can add a 'tip,' which I also did &mdash; and I encourage you too to support the ActBlue project.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/toss_them_out.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 12:02:26 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Get Smart</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/getsmart.jpg" alt="Get Smart poster crop" align="left" />Four of five stars. In the good old days of Siskel and Ebert you knew Siskel was the brainy one. When you agreed with one of Siskel's reviews you felt smarter for it, whereas Ebert could be counted on to routinely get things wrong. Except when they strongly disagreed. For me, at least, Ebert in strenuous opposition was almost always right because of the visceral appreciation he brings to a film. Siskel had ideas about what he was <i>supposed</i> to like; Ebert just lets his bourgeois sensibilities run loose. If Siskel were still around he probably wouldn't have liked Get Smart. Most other reviewers didn't. Ebert gives it three and half out of his four stars &mdash; according to <a href="http://www.metacritic.com/film/titles/getsmart">metacritic.com</a> the most favorable review out there. Heck, I don't care, I agree with Ebert: I laughed through the whole thing, rollicking laughter, with tears leaking out my eyes. And I thought it was a pretty smart, well acted, finely executed film. Even though it's getting panned I predict it'll become a cult classic. You can read Ebert's review, <a href="http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080619/REVIEWS/867249699">here</a>.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/get_smart.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Sun, 22 Jun 2008 01:30:23 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>An Irish Flack</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/currantevents.jpg" alt="Currant Events cartoon" align="left" />The encomia for Timothy John Russert, Jr. take one's breath away. They astound even the sympathetic critic. For in reality, Russert practiced evasion and obfuscation, replacing real news with pap. He was no teller of great truths, no champion of the powerless, no voice of conscience. To the contrary, he diligently enforced the <i>status quo</i>. Sure, he was a nice guy. And he had a gift for handicapping political races. But the agitation surrounding his passing marks less his admirable qualities than his failings: without his happy face the establishment media may now more easily be seen for the toxic parasites that they are. Their exaggerated grieving serves the grievers, not the man. It would be better to remember Tim Russert without memorializing the system.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/an_irish_flack.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/an_irish_flack.html</guid>
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         <pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 14:26:35 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>The Genius of Patrick O&apos;Brian</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/100days.jpg" alt="The Hundred Days cover painting" align="left" />The author Patrick O'Brian passed away in 2000 at the age of 85, leaving a wide-ranging legacy &mdash; most notably his unfinished twenty volume series of historical fiction chronicling the adventures at sea (and on land) during the early nineteenth century of Jack Aubrey and Stephen Maturin. According to the <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/obituaries/429210.stm">BBC</a>, O'Brian sold over two million books. Brought to an even wider public with Peter Weir's 2003 film Master and Commander, starring Russell Crowe (grossing over $200 million worldwide), nevertheless O'Brian remains outside the canon of great works in English literature.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/the_genius_of_patrick_obrian.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 11 Jun 2008 14:05:57 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Some Numbers</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/iraqchopper.jpg" alt="Iraq chopper" align="left" />It's educational to look back at the British experience in Mesopotamia. Following an initially successful invasion (yes, oil was a factor), then a rout (surrender to the Turks at Kut) in 1916, British forces &mdash; mostly Indian troops &mdash; reached a maximum strength of about <a href="http://www.electricpolitics.com/media/docs/S04-07.pdf"> 400,000</a> [PDF] a few years later. Which made me wonder about numbers. In <a href="http://www.populstat.info/Asia/iraqc.htm">1920</a> the population of Iraq was about three million. <a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/print/iz.html">Today</a> it's about thirty million. Relative to today's population the Brits would have had about four million soldiers! US troop strength today is roughly 150,000 (mercenaries vaguely add something). The British, of course, lost Iraq. So, then, what makes us think that with more than twenty times fewer people things will turn out differently for us? (Related to all this, the story of <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FGertrude-Bell-Desert-Shaper-Nations%2Fdp%2F0374531358%3Fie%3DUTF8%26s%3Dbooks%26qid%3D1213065172%26sr%3D8-1&tag=electricpolit-20&linkCode=ur2&camp=1789&creative=9325">Gertrude Bell</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=electricpolit-20&amp;l=ur2&amp;o=1" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />, btw, is quite interesting.)</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/some_numbers.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 20:56:02 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>A Geriatric Press</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/adbaby.jpg" alt="Baby painted with advertising logos" align="left" />The Millennial generation is critically important in 2008 and will become increasingly central to American politics for the next several decades (for some reasons why, see Friday's podcast). It should be a scandal, then, that the mainstream press not only doesn't recognize the Millennial factor but manages to ignore it when it's the central aspect of a story they report. Case in point: today's <i>NYT</i> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/08/us/politics/08obama.html?hp">piece</a> by Adam Nagourney and Jeff Zeleny on Obama's 50 state strategy. If it weren't for Millennials Obama's effort is merely a curiosity &mdash; pretty much as this piece reports &mdash; but taking Millennials into account one sees what the story really means: Obama is building a base of Democratic Party participation that goes well past this election cycle. Is the mainstream blind, hopelessly stupid, or what?</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/a_geriatric_press.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Sun, 08 Jun 2008 15:12:52 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>What Does She Want??</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/hillaryiraq.jpg" alt="Hillary Iraq" align="left" />A normal, decent person, faced with the situation Hillary Clinton faced yesterday evening, would have conceded defeat. Hillary seems to think she has other options, prompting CNN's Jeffrey Toobin to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/06/03/jeffrey-toobin-clintons-r_n_105051.html">call</a> her refusal to concede "deranged narcissism." Perhaps. Lots of others speculate that she's bargaining for the Vice Presidency, but the chances of Obama picking her as a running mate are about the same that John McCain will. Negligible. Nor does she ensure a seat at the table on her signature issues &mdash; if she won't close Democratic ranks, why include her in much of anything, anymore? Assuming she's <i>not</i> deranged that leaves an intriguing possibility: she's contemplating running as an independent. Nobody that I've seen has speculated along these lines, but it's worth taking a moment to consider what might happen.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/what_does_she_want.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2008 12:50:36 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Obama On Fire</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/barackstpaul.jpg" alt="Barack Obama in St. Paul" align="left" />Obama gave a great speech tonight in St. Paul, Minnesota. Wow! Well constructed, emotional, plenty of content. I notice that a lot of commentators don't get it &mdash; I sort of wish they did but, really, I don't care. It's as if they live in another world. As does John "Wetstart" McCain, recycling a dreary 1980s speech. What a cardboard figure. Or Hillary, practicing her occult art of political division. Obama's tapped into something else altogether. And it's amazing, thinking about it, that he's kept this fire under wraps for so long, figuring, one supposes, that it's meant for a general campaign. Republicans, watch out!</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/obama_on_fire.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/obama_on_fire.html</guid>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 03 Jun 2008 23:03:49 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>General William E. Odom, RIP</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/generalodom.jpg" alt="William E. Odom" align="left" />What a privilege and honor it was to know <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/31/AR2008053102193.html">William Eldridge Odom</a>. After I'd resigned from the State Department we often found ourselves &mdash; for whatever reason, I don't know why &mdash; booked onto the same television shows to talk about the crisis in Yugoslavia. Usually to argue with each other but also sometimes to argue the same side. We respected each other. And we got to know each other outside the studio, mostly on a professional basis: he invited me a few times to luncheon discussions over at his Washington base at the Hudson Institute. Always subjects I knew nothing about, but interesting. And I can't remember now, but he may have come around to some of my events at the Carnegie Endowment (often very well attended). Though we were not especially close, I certainly thought of him as a friend. </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/06/general_william_e_odom_rip.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 02 Jun 2008 00:45:04 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Barr the Spoiler</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/bobbarr.jpg" alt="Bob Barr" align="left" />People often forget nowadays that that much vaunted politician of lore, Bill Clinton, won in 1992 thanks to Ross Perot. Probably. Clinton got 43% of the vote. George Herbert Walker Bush 37.4%. Perot 18.9%. Arguably, the largest share of Perot's vote came out of Bush senior's hide, though Perot's exact effect on the outcome remains controversial thanks to Clinton apologists. Florida was very close, as usual (it went Republican), but so were Georgia and Ohio (for Clinton). North Carolina and Arizona (for Bush) were close, too, tying up precious Republican resources in the process. The point is, a strong conservative third party candidate is guaranteed a non-trivial share of hard right votes in important states. Perhaps a winning share. Enter the 2008 Libertarians.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/05/barr_the_spoiler.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Sun, 25 May 2008 23:42:09 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>The Nightmare</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img class="photoLeft" src="http://electricpolitics.com/media/photos/frankenstein.jpg" alt="Frankenstein movie poster" align="left" />If the Democratic Party establishment hasn't got the wherewithal to pull the plug on Clinton's campaign well before the convention, then the Democrats deserve to lose the election. And lose they will. Taking the fight to seat Florida and Michigan and the fight over superdelegates into August will do two things: it deprives Obama of rest, recuperation, and an opportunity to plan the general campaign that he needs (and deserves), and it ensures bitter, lasting division between the demographic groups that have broken consistently along sharp lines between the candidates. Given the arcane challenges of the electoral college map, putting a winning coalition back together would become almost impossible. Our political system would be well and truly broken, obviously so, for everybody to see. In a non-trivial sense that would be the historic failure of the Democrats: shirking their responsibility to try to make the system work.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.electricpolitics.com/2008/05/the_nightmare.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 06:49:58 -0500</pubDate>
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