Down and Out on the European Animal Farm
By Diana Johnstone
PARIS — For Europe's poorest countries, European Union membership has long held out the promise of tranquil prosperity. The current Greek financial crisis ought to dispel some of their illusions.
There are two strikingly significant levels to the current crisis. While primarily economic, the European Union also claims to be a community, based on solidarity — the sisterhood of nations and brotherhood of peoples. However, the economic deficit is nothing compared to the human deficit it exposes.
To put it simply, the Greek crisis shows what happens when a weak member of this Union is in trouble. It is the same as what happens on the world scale, where there is no such morally pretentious union perpetually congratulating itself on its devotion to human rights. The economically strong protect their own interests at the expense of the economically weak.
The crisis broke last autumn after George Papandreou's PASOK party won elections, took office and discovered that the cupboard was bare. The Greek government had cheated to get into the EU's euro zone in 2001 by cooking the books to cover deficits that would have disqualified it from membership in the common currency. The European Treaties capped the acceptable budget deficit at 3% and public debt at 60% of GDP respectively. In fact, this limit is being widely transgressed, quite openly by France. But major scandal arrived with revelations that Greece's budget deficit reached 12.7% in 2009, with a gross debt forecast for 2010 amounting to 125% of GDP.
Of course, European leaders got together to declare solidarity. But their speeches were designed not so much to reassure the increasingly angry and desperate Greek people as to soothe "the markets" — the real hidden almighty gods of the European Union. The markets, like the ancient gods, have a great old time tormenting mere mortals in trouble, so their response to the Greek problem was naturally to rush to profit from it. For instance, when Greece is obliged to issue new bonds this year, the markets can blithely demand that Greece double its interest rates, on grounds of increased "risk" that Greece won't pay, thus making it that much harder for Greece to pay. Such is the logic of the free market.
What the EU leaders meant by "solidarity" in their appeal to the gods was not that they were going to pour public money into Greece, as they poured it into their troubled banks, but that they intended to squeeze the money owed the banks out of the Greek people.
The squeezing is to take the forms made familiar over the past disastrous decades by the International Monetary Fund: the Greek State is enjoined to cut public expenses, which means firing public employees, cutting their overall earnings, delaying retirement, economizing on health care, raising taxes, and incidentally probably raising the jobless rate from 9.6% to around 16%, all with the glorious aim of bringing the deficit down to 8.7% this year and thus appeasing the almighty invisible gods of the market.
This just might propitiate both the gods and German leaders, who above all want to maintain the value of the euro. The financial markets will no doubt grab their pound of flesh in the form of increased interest rates, while the Greeks are bled by IMF-style "shock treatment."
And what about that great theater of human rights and universal brotherhood, the European Parliament? Well, in that august forum everyone gets to speak for a carefully clocked 1, 2, or 3 minutes, but when it comes to the most serious matter, the budget, the authoritative voices are all German.
Thus the chairman of the EP's special committee on the economic and financial crisis, Wolf Klinz, has called for sending a "high representative" of the EU to Greece, an "economies commissar" to make sure the Greeks carry out the austerity measures properly. The Greek crisis can allow the EU to put into practice for the first time its "Treaty instruments" concerning "supervision of budgetary and economic policy." Interest rates may go up because of "risk," but there is to be no risk. The pound of flesh will be delivered.
There was no such supervision of the financial fiddling which caused this mess. The EU statistics agency Eurostat recently discovered and revealed that in 2001, Goldman Sachs secretly ("but legally," protest its executive officers) helped the Greek government meet EU membership criteria by using a complicated "currency swap" that masked the extent of public deficit and national debt.
Who understands how that worked? I think it is fair to guess that not even Angela Merkel, who is trained as a scientist, understands clearly what went on, much less the incompetent Greek politicians who accepted the Goldman Sachs trickery. It allowed them to create an illusion of success — for a while. Success meant being a "member of the club" of the rich, and it can be argued that this notion of success has actually favored bad government at the national level. Belonging to the EU gave a false sense of security that contributed to the irresponsibility of incompetent political leaders.
Having euros to buy imported goods (notably from Germany) pleased rich consumers, while the euro priced Greek goods out of their previous markets. Now the debt trap is closing. The traditional way out for Greece would be to leave the euro and return to a devaluated drachma, in order to cut imports and favor exports. This way, the burden of necessary sacrifices would not be borne solely by the working class. But the embrace of EU "solidarity" is there to prevent this from happening. German authorities are preparing to lay down the law to the Greeks, after reducing the income of their own working class in order to benefit Germany's export-oriented economy.
Austerity measures are the opposite of what is needed in a time of looming depression. Rather, Keynesian measures should be used to stimulate employment and strengthen the domestic market. But Germany is firmly attached to the export model, for itself and everyone else ("globalization"). For a country like Greece, which cannot compete successfully within the EU, exports outside the EU are crippled by its use of a strong currency, the euro. Bound to the euro, Greece can neither stimulate its domestic market nor export successfully. But it is not going to be allowed to extricate itself from the debt trap and return to its traditional currency, the drachma. Poverty appears to be the only solution.
There is discontent within the German working class at their country's policies aimed at shrinking wages and social benefits for the sake of selling abroad. In an ideal "social Europe", workers in Germany would come to the aid of workers in Greece by demanding a radical revision of economic policy, away from catering to the international financial markets toward building a solid social democracy. The reality is quite different.
The Greek financial crisis exposes the absence of any real community spirit in the EU. The "solidarity" declared by the country's EU partners is a solidarity with their own investments. There is no popular solidarity between peoples. The EU has established a surrogate ideology of internationalism: rejection of the nation-state as source of all evil, a pompous pride in "Europe" as the center of human rights, giver of moral lessons to the world, which happens to fit in perfectly with its subservience to United States imperial foreign policy in the Middle East and beyond. The paradox is that European unification has coincided with decreasing curiosity in the larger EU states about what happens to their neighbors. Despite a certain amount of specialized training needed to create a Eurocrat class, the general population of each EU member is only superficially acquainted with the others. They see them as teams in soccer matches. They go on holiday around the Mediterranean, but this mostly involves meeting fellow tourists, and study of foreign languages has declined, except for English (omnipresent, if mangled). Mass media news reports are turned inward, featuring missing children and pedophiles ahead of even major political events in other EU member states.
Northern European media portray Greece practically as a Third World country, peripheral and picturesque, where people speak an impossible language, dance in circles on islands, and live beyond their means in their carefree way. The crickets in the Aesop fable, scorned by the assiduous ants. Media in Germany and the Netherlands imply that IMF-style shock treatment is almost too good for them. The widening polarization between rich and poor, between and within EU member states, is taken for granted.
The smaller indebted countries within the EU are amiably designated by the English-speaking financial priesthood as the PIGS — Portugal, Italy (perhaps Ireland), Greece, Spain — an appropriate designation for an animal farm where some are so much more equal than others.
Diana Johnstone is a widely-published essayist and columnist who has written extensively on European and international politics. She is the author of The Politics of Euromissiles: Europe's Role in America's World (Verso, 1985). Her writings have been published in many publications such as New Left Review, In These Times, The Nation, Counterpunch, and Covert Action Quarterly. Her latest book is Fools' Crusade: Yugoslavia, NATO, and Western Delusions (Monthly Review Press, 2003; ISBN: 1-58367-084-X). She can be reached at diana.josto@yahoo.fr.
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Comments
This comment is tangential to the topic. Please pardon me.
It's interesting to see a Diana Johnstone piece here. (If you've previously expressed an opinion about her work, I wasn't aware of it.) I've been trying to understand what happened in Yugoslavia and have been making my way through Fool's Crusade. While I appreciate that book's contrarian point of view, I've nevertheless found it often just as unsubstantiated and cherry-picking as mainstream coverage, albeit for the other side. (eg, in attempting to refute Belgrade's pursuit of a Greater Serbia, Johnstone proclaims simply, "In mid-1992, following international recognition of an independent BiH, the JNA formally pulled out of Bosnia" [p33]. Technically true, but woefully misleading as there is no mention of the subsequent formation of the VRS from former JNA units.)
As such, I'm wary of Johnstone. Admittedly, I'm just an armchair historian and have actually been meaning to write to you for your opinion on Fool's Crusade. Do you agree that there are issues with her work?
Further off topic: Can you recommend any other pieces to help make sense of Yugoslavia? (What's your opinion on the documentary Yugoslavia: The Avoidable War, in which you appear?) And whatever happened to the idea of having a guest host interview you on the subject? I'd love to hear that.
I apologize for turning this away from Greece. Thanks for reading and any response. Keep up the great work.
[It's not easy to work through the mountain of material related to the Yugoslav civil war — for what it's worth, as a quasi-participant who had a fair amount to do with the crisis, I think Diana's assessment is almost exactly accurate. I credit the Serbs with slightly more culpability than Diana does, but comparatively I'd score them closely grouped together: the Serbs at 7/10, the Croats (both in Croatia and in Bosnia) at 6.5/10, and the Muslims at 6/10. Note: Former Bosnian Muslim Vice-President Ejup Ganic was arrested today at Heathrow for war crimes. I know a prominent journalist — you'd recognize his byline — who many years ago told me that he'd be willing to testify against Ganic at a war crimes trial. This journalist had been in a room with Ganic and seen and heard Ganic give orders over the phone to have a certain person shot. Now we'll see whether that journalist will become a prosecution witness... I met Ganic quite a few times myself but always under more innocuous conditions, both in his sand-bagged office in Sarajevo's presidency building and elsewhere. g.]
Posted by: miloš | March 1, 2010 7:17 PM