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INTERMITTENT NOTESXML

And Just Another Word About Texas

Old theater posterYesterday's Washington Post headline read "Clinton Beats Obama in Texas and Ohio." The New York Times' beguiling headline concurred, "Big Wins for Clinton in Texas and Ohio." Most mainstream media covered Tuesday's elections by flatly declaring that Clinton won Texas, with only a few then noting as a qualifier that actually many Texas delegates remained to be apportioned. The fact is — and it is a true fact — Clinton has not yet won Texas. If the papers of record and others absolutely had to have had an early headline, to be accurate it should have said something like this: "Texas Still Too Close To Call."

On Wednesday morning the Texas Secretary of State reported that Clinton had won the popular vote in the democratic primary, 50.87% to Obama's 47.39%, resulting in Clinton winning 65 delegates to Obama's 61. But Texas uses a convoluted primary/caucus hybrid — another 67 delegates remain to be chosen through the caucuses that were also held Tuesday. Does it make sense to say that the winner of the popular vote "won" Texas if it turns out somewhat later that they got a smaller number of delegates? One might as well ask whether it makes sense to call a person "Mr. President" if they won fewer electoral college votes but won the majority of the national popular vote. Ask President Gore.

It's very difficult to understand or make projections about the Texas caucus count. Nevertheless, AP's spread of known total Texas delegate allocation now has Clinton up by only one, with ten caucus delegates still outstanding. Obama could win assuming individual delegates can't be split. Possibly we'll know by Friday, but keep in mind that the Texas Democratic Party won't announce until March 29th its "official" slate of delegates to the democratic party's national convention.

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Comments


Consortium News says Obama is winning Texas:

http://www.consortiumnews.com/2008/030608a.html


There's a lot more about this starting to pop up:

CNN: Obama 56% to Clinton 44%

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/05/texas.caucus.count/?iref=mpstoryview


Are Even Iowa's Delegates Decided?

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/03/are-even-iowas.html

Don't ask me. I'm confused!


Those of you who've read Joe Bageant will want to take note of this. (Joe had a great interview on EP in July 2007.)

Hillary's Scotch-Irish advantage

http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/0308/Hillarys_ScotsIrish_advantage.html


I'm glad you have a true fact, as opposed to a false fact.



Especially now that the AP reports that Obama actually won Texas.

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