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INTERMITTENT NOTESXML

Balinese Backsliding

Ice shelf cracksAt the last moment, on the theory that half a loaf of nothing is better than none, delegates to the UN's climate summit in Bali agreed to begin two years of negotiations designed to secure new, non-binding agreements on carbon emissions targets. (For those keeping track, the U.S. delegate, Paula Dobriansky, Under Secretary of State for Democracy and Global Affairs, is one of the most awful, destructive neo-con hacks in Washington.) It would have been better to fail at Bali, leaving some countries free to pursue serious policies, others — to be held to account later — not. This way, however, U.S. intransigence only encourages conniving by others, a form of moral hazard. In two years' time any conceivable agreement will almost certainly be too late.

What's the worst that can happen? I keep wondering about the planet Venus, since it's so similar to Earth in physical composition, and orbit, yet so different an environment. Turns out at least one NASA scientist also wonders, and I suppose it should be a standard benchmark: how close to Venus do we risk getting? And if we don't know that should be of concern. I guess a corollary question is how close are we to developing inter-stellar travel such that some fraction of humanity might escape, to try and start over?

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